Research topic
AI trading and forecasting
2 FinzData report(s) on AI trading and forecasting.
AI Trading Championship 2026 Overview
Nemotron-3 Ultra won the FinzData AI Trading Championship with OOS Sharpe 0.81 and final score 0.94, ahead of Muse Glimmer 30B and Claude Fable. Only 4 of 11 AI models beat the equal-weight top-500 benchmark Sharpe 0.63.
Quant models and market regimesEquity strategy and factorsWhy Most Backtests Lie (and How to Fix Them)
Why most backtests lie: tuned parameters, no stress-period testing, light trading costs and survivorship or look-ahead bias. Luck alone gives a best 3-month Sharpe near 6 among 546 zero-skill strategies; published strategies fade to a median Sharpe of 0.01 after publication. The evidence, the four mistakes, an 8-point checklist and the safeguards built into FinzData.
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