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Recession risk and the business cycle

1 FinzData report(s) on Recession risk and the business cycle.

Margin Debt Leading Indicator for S&P 500

FINRA margin debt hit a record $1.502 trillion in June 2026 and growth is rolling over. Margin debt moves with S&P 500 with 0.81 correlation and leverage versus cash is at a record 3.4×.

Liquidity, leverage and margin debtCredit markets and debtEquity strategy and factors

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