FinzData Weekly

FinzData Weekly: Liquidity, Capital Flows & Positioning, September 19, 2026

Liquidity, capital flows and positioning for the week to September 19, 2026, built from the FinzData database. Data, not investment advice.

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This week in five lines

Liquidity

SeriesLatestAs of1w4w13w1y
Fed net liquidity (assets − TGA − reverse repo)$5,864bn2026-09-16+7bn+72bn+15bn−40bn
Fed balance sheet$6,747bn2026-09-16+6bn+1bn+10bn+141bn
Treasury General Account$877bn2026-09-16−6bn−77bn−4bn+205bn
Overnight reverse repo$0bn2026-09-17−4bn0bn0bn−14bn
Bank reserves$3,014bn2026-09-16+22bn+79bn−20bn−147bn
M2 money supply (weekly)$23,306bn2026-08-31+38bn+97bn+283bn+1,333bn
Money market fund assets$8,441bn2026-04-01+152bn+152bn+251bn+960bn
G3 central bank assets (USD)$17,524bn2026-09-01−124bn−124bn−235bn−917bn
Chicago Fed financial conditions (NFCI)-0.542026-09-11+0.01+0.01−0.03−0.01
St. Louis Fed financial stress-0.852026-09-11−0.06−0.02−0.08−0.44
6,2866,1055,9255,7445,5632024-09-252026-09-16

Fed net liquidity at $5,864bn as of 2026-09-16, up +72bn over four weeks. The Treasury General Account fell −77bn over four weeks to $877bn, while M2 money supply is 6.1% versus a year ago at $23,306bn.

Capital flows (TIC)

SeriesLatest monthValuePrior month12-month total / change
Net foreign purchases of US long-term securities2026-07-01$41bn$209bn+1,754bn (12m total)
Net foreign purchases of US Treasuries2026-07-01−$4bn$6bn+247bn (12m total)
Foreign official net purchases of Treasuries2026-07-01$26bn−$10bn−17bn (12m total)
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries2026-07-01$38,821bn$39,195bn+4,862bn (12m change)

Net foreign purchases of US long-term securities were 40.616 in 2026-07-01, down from 208.899 the prior month. Net foreign purchases of US Treasuries were -3.56, while foreign official net purchases of Treasuries were 25.537.

Positioning (CFTC Commitments of Traders)

TFF report (financial futures)

MarketGroupNet contractsNet % OIw/w ppCOT indexPercentileFlag
S&P 500Asset managers906,65436.5%−6.9pp6082%
S&P 500Leveraged funds-311,831-12.6%+4.6pp6331%
Nasdaq-100Asset managers67,78819.6%−4.8pp5151%
Nasdaq-100Leveraged funds-13,052-3.8%+8.0pp7545%
Russell 2000Asset managers24,2734.9%−0.6pp2338%
Russell 2000Leveraged funds-97,203-19.6%+6.0pp157%
VIXAsset managers-52,658-11.8%−3.1pp111%
VIXLeveraged funds-16,504-3.7%+1.7pp7787%
US 2-year TreasuryAsset managers1,732,73139.1%+1.8pp4185%
US 2-year TreasuryLeveraged funds-1,294,575-29.2%+0.5pp9627%Crowded long
US 10-year TreasuryAsset managers2,634,98049.0%−0.0pp100100%Crowded long
US 10-year TreasuryLeveraged funds-1,868,126-34.7%+2.4pp4511%
US Treasury bondAsset managers460,66224.7%−4.9pp3151%
US Treasury bondLeveraged funds-211,735-11.3%+4.0pp9151%Crowded long
SOFR 3-monthAsset managers-714,756-5.4%+0.7pp1310%
SOFR 3-monthLeveraged funds-2,774,148-20.8%+0.3pp42%Crowded short
EuroAsset managers251,69827.4%+0.8pp3856%
EuroLeveraged funds-28,156-3.1%+0.5pp3155%
Japanese yenAsset managers53,8459.9%+10.0pp6867%
Japanese yenLeveraged funds23,1704.3%+14.1pp9077%Crowded long
British poundAsset managers-89,211-28.4%+4.8pp3726%
British poundLeveraged funds18,8786.0%−4.9pp3250%
Bitcoin (CME)Asset managers2,76013.3%−4.5pp445%Crowded short
Bitcoin (CME)Leveraged funds-6,354-30.6%+6.8pp9463%Crowded long

Disaggregated report (commodities)

MarketGroupNet contractsNet % OIw/w ppCOT indexPercentileFlag
WTI crudeManaged money106,2795.4%−0.3pp4314%
WTI crudeProducers/merchants307,40915.7%−0.2pp7797%
Natural gas (NYMEX)Managed money-100,205-5.5%−0.2pp2236%
Natural gas (NYMEX)Producers/merchants-17,207-0.9%−0.1pp7178%
GoldManaged money133,11632.5%−0.3pp6579%
GoldProducers/merchants-28,061-6.8%+0.7pp7487%
SilverManaged money13,12412.7%−1.3pp3843%
SilverProducers/merchants-17,354-16.7%+0.2pp8481%
CopperManaged money65,10622.5%−5.1pp8686%
CopperProducers/merchants-98,018-33.9%+3.7pp1622%
CornManaged money414,46022.5%−0.5pp10094%Crowded long
CornProducers/merchants-770,306-41.8%+1.5pp47%Crowded short
SoybeansManaged money241,50121.9%−2.2pp9685%Crowded long
SoybeansProducers/merchants-312,329-28.3%+3.8pp840%Crowded short

Crowding and weekly swings

Most crowded (by |COT index − 50|)

Largest weekly swings (by |w/w pp|)

Most crowded positioning: US 10-year Treasury (Asset managers, index 100) and Corn (Managed money, index 100). Largest weekly swing in net % of open interest: Japanese yen (Leveraged funds) at +14.1pp.

Method and sources

All figures are point-in-time for the issue date. COT positioning uses rows dated on or before issue date minus four days (Tuesday positions published the following Friday). Liquidity and TIC series use rows dated on or before issue date minus two days. This lets us rebuild past issues exactly as they would have appeared at the time.

Explore the underlying series: COT positioning, datasets, explore, and the RSS feed.

Pull the same data

import finzdata as yf

c = yf.Client()

# Net liquidity: Fed assets minus TGA minus reverse repo
liq = c.liquidity("FED_NET_LIQUIDITY")

# COT positioning: S&P 500 futures, TFF report
cot = c.cot(report="tff_fo", market="13874+")

# Treasury International Capital flows
tic = c.tic()

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