Research topic
Credit markets and debt
3 FinzData report(s) on Credit markets and debt.
Margin Debt Leading Indicator for S&P 500
FINRA margin debt hit a record $1.502 trillion in June 2026 and growth is rolling over. Margin debt moves with S&P 500 with 0.81 correlation and leverage versus cash is at a record 3.4×.
Liquidity, leverage and margin debtEquity strategy and factorsRecession risk and the business cycleState of US Consumer October 2026 Research
Real consumer spending is up 2.6% year over year in August 2026 while real hourly wages fell 0.7% and the saving rate is 4.1%, showing a K-shaped consumer with strong balance sheets funding spending.
US consumer and spendingInflation and CPILabor market and jobsFederal Reserve and monetary policyYield Curve Debt Market CoreWeave October 2026
2-year at 4.77% prices a Fed hike while 10-year fell to 5.10%, flattening 2s10s to 35bp. CoreWeave bonds yield about 15-16% with five-year CDS near 1,195bp as AI borrowing faces credit stress.
Yield curveInterest rates and Treasury yieldsFederal Reserve and monetary policyAI infrastructure and data-center capexRelated searches
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