Research topic

Interest rates and Treasury yields

4 FinzData report(s) on Interest rates and Treasury yields.

September 2026 CPI Deep Dive Energy Shock Core

September CPI rose 0.6% month over month, 3.7% year over year, driven by a 9.1% gasoline jump while core CPI runs 3.4% annualized over three months versus 2.6% over twelve months.

Inflation and CPIFederal Reserve and monetary policyYield curveUS consumer and spending

Quantitative Model October 2026 Goldilocks

Financial conditions tighten as Goldilocks returns. S&P 500 rose +2.83% next month on average after 33 Goldilocks months since 2011 up 76% of the time. September nowcast points to Reflation.

Quant models and market regimesFederal Reserve and monetary policyEquity strategy and factorsInflation and CPI

US housing October 2026 research and data

Pending home sales fell 7.3% to 66.0 and housing starts fell 5.2% to 1.221 million as 30-year mortgages averaged 7.40%. Builder confidence hit 29, the lowest since June 2012, freezing US housing.

US housing marketMortgage ratesHome pricesHomebuilders and constructionFederal Reserve and monetary policyRents and shelter inflationInflation and CPI

Yield Curve Debt Market CoreWeave October 2026

2-year at 4.77% prices a Fed hike while 10-year fell to 5.10%, flattening 2s10s to 35bp. CoreWeave bonds yield about 15-16% with five-year CDS near 1,195bp as AI borrowing faces credit stress.

Yield curveCredit markets and debtFederal Reserve and monetary policyAI infrastructure and data-center capex

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