FinzData Weekly · FinzData Research · Published 17 October 2026

FinzData Weekly: Liquidity, Capital Flows & Positioning, October 17, 2026

Liquidity, capital flows and positioning for the week to October 17, 2026, built from the FinzData database. Data, not investment advice.

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$5,872bnFed net liquidity, 14 October 2026 (+8bn over 4 weeks)
$883bnTreasury General Account (+6bn over 4 weeks)
+6.1%M2 money supply vs a year ago ($23,306bn)
VIXMost crowded: Asset managers, COT index 0 (crowded short)

Contents

  1. This week in five lines
  2. Fed net liquidity
  3. What moved liquidity
  4. Money and financial conditions
  5. Foreign capital flows (TIC)
  6. ETF and crypto flows
  7. Positioning map
  8. Most crowded
  9. Biggest weekly swings
  10. Every number here is one call to the FinzData API
  11. Method and sources

1. FinzData Weekly: Liquidity, Capital Flows & Positioning

Slide 1: FinzData Weekly: Liquidity, Capital Flows & Positioning

Cover slide for the FinzData Weekly issue dated October 17, 2026. The deck covers liquidity, capital flows and positioning for the week.

import finzdata as yf

c = yf.Client()

# Net liquidity: Fed assets minus TGA minus reverse repo
liq = c.liquidity("FED_NET_LIQUIDITY")

# COT positioning: S&P 500 futures, TFF report
cot = c.cot(report="tff_fo", market="13874+")

# Treasury International Capital flows
tic = c.tic()

Built for AI, quants, data scientists and financial analysts who backtest. Clean data. Real insights. Real alpha. finzdata.com. This material is for information only and is not investment advice.

2. This week in five lines

Slide 2: This week in five lines

Key takeaways from this week's issue: Fed net liquidity stands at $5,872bn as of 2026-10-14, rising over the past four weeks (+8bn). The Treasury General Account is rising over four weeks (+6bn) to $883bn.

  • Fed net liquidity stands at $5,872bn as of 2026-10-14, rising over the past four weeks (+8bn).
  • The Treasury General Account is rising over four weeks (+6bn) to $883bn.
  • M2 money supply is 6.1% versus a year ago at $23,306bn.
  • Most crowded positioning: VIX (Asset managers, index 0) and US 10-year Treasury (Asset managers, index 100).
  • Largest weekly swing in net % of open interest: Copper (Managed money) at −5.8pp.

3. Fed net liquidity

Slide 3: Fed net liquidity

Fed net liquidity stands at $5,872bn as of 2026-10-14. The four-week change is +8bn and the thirteen-week change is −115bn.

SeriesLatestAs of1w4w13w1y
Fed net liquidity (assets − TGA − reverse repo)$5,872bn2026-10-14+7bn+8bn−115bn+94bn
Fed balance sheet$6,756bn2026-10-14+8bn+9bn+13bn+165bn
Treasury General Account$883bn2026-10-14+3bn+6bn+127bn+76bn
Overnight reverse repo$1bn2026-10-15+1bn+1bn+1bn−4bn
Bank reserves$3,022bn2026-10-14−8bn+8bn−121bn+24bn
M2 money supply (weekly)$23,306bn2026-08-31+38bn+97bn+283bn+1,333bn
Money market fund assets$8,441bn2026-04-01+152bn+152bn+251bn+960bn
G3 central bank assets (USD)$17,524bn2026-09-01−124bn−124bn−235bn−917bn
Chicago Fed financial conditions (NFCI)-0.502026-10-09+0.01+0.04+0.02+0.02
St. Louis Fed financial stress-0.722026-10-09−0.25+0.13+0.16−0.23
6,2866,1055,9255,7445,5632024-10-232026-10-14

Fed net liquidity is $5,872bn as of 2026-10-14 with a four-week change of +8bn. Treasury General Account stands at $883bn, up +6bn over four weeks.

4. What moved liquidity

Slide 4: What moved liquidity

Four-week changes in the components of net liquidity: Fed balance sheet +9bn; Treasury General Account −6bn; Overnight reverse repo −1bn; Bank reserves +8bn.

5. Money and financial conditions

Slide 5: Money and financial conditions

Money and financial conditions snapshot. For example, M2 (weekly) stands at $23,306bn as of 2026-08-31.

6. Foreign capital flows (TIC)

Slide 6: Foreign capital flows (TIC)

Net foreign purchases of US long-term securities over the last 12 months. Latest month August 2026: $301bn; 12-month total $1,876bn.

SeriesLatest monthValuePrior month12-month total / change
Net foreign purchases of US long-term securities2026-08-01$301bn$41bn+1,876bn (12m total)
Net foreign purchases of US Treasuries2026-08-01$109bn−$4bn+306bn (12m total)
Foreign official net purchases of Treasuries2026-08-01$18bn$26bn+10bn (12m total)
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries2026-08-01$39,916bn$38,826bn+5,290bn (12m change)

Net foreign purchases of US long-term securities were $301bn in 2026-08-01 versus $41bn prior month. Net foreign purchases of US Treasuries were $109bn in 2026-08-01 with a 12-month total of +306bn.

7. ETF and crypto flows

Slide 7: ETF and crypto flows

Net flow across the 7 of 30 tracked ETFs with issuer data this week: +$9.14bn. Not total US ETF flow. Spot bitcoin ETFs: −$124.9m over the week, +$2.23bn over four weeks. Spot ether ETFs: −$306.5m over the week, −$97.2m over four weeks. USD stablecoin supply changed −$1.82bn over seven days to $305.5bn.

US-listed ETF creations and redemptions

Net flow across the funds we measure this week: +$9.14bn (5 trading days to 2026-10-15; flow = change in shares outstanding x NAV, from the issuers' own daily files). Coverage this week: 7 of 30 tracked funds (BIL, DIA, SPY, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLV); the rest are not yet measured, so this is not total US ETF flow.

Asset classNet flow (week)
US equity+$7.87bn
Sector+$938.1m
Treasuries+$326.7m
ETFFundNet flow (week)
SPYSPY+$8.01bn
XLEXLE+$730.2m
BILBIL+$326.7m
XLVXLV+$144.2m
XLKXLK+$99.0m
DIADIA−$132.1m
XLFXLF−$35.3m

Crypto flows

Series1 week4 weeksLatestLargest in / out
Spot bitcoin ETFs−$124.9m+$2.23bn2026-10-15MSBT +$6.7m, IBIT −$71.2m
Spot ether ETFs−$306.5m−$97.2m2026-10-15FETH +$10.5m, ETHA −$285.4m
Stablecoin supply (USD-pegged)−$1.82bn+$2.54bn2026-10-15$305.5bn outstanding

8. Positioning map

Slide 8: Positioning map

COT index for every tracked market and trader group. Highest reading: US 10-year Treasury (Asset managers) at 100; lowest: VIX (Asset managers) at 0.

TFF report (financial futures)

MarketGroupNet contractsNet % OIw/w ppCOT indexPercentileFlag
S&P 500Asset managers909,30246.6%−0.8pp6194%
S&P 500Leveraged funds-415,909-21.3%−1.7pp323%
Nasdaq-100Asset managers74,85625.1%+0.2pp6267%
Nasdaq-100Leveraged funds-26,738-9.0%+2.9pp6433%
Russell 2000Asset managers45,49510.7%+1.4pp3467%
Russell 2000Leveraged funds-105,317-24.8%+2.0pp91%Crowded short
VIXAsset managers-80,614-18.3%−2.5pp00%Crowded short
VIXLeveraged funds5,4941.2%+3.0pp9695%Crowded long
US 2-year TreasuryAsset managers1,679,08737.4%+1.3pp3784%
US 2-year TreasuryLeveraged funds-1,257,484-28.0%−2.3pp9429%Crowded long
US 10-year TreasuryAsset managers2,828,13949.2%+0.3pp100100%Crowded long
US 10-year TreasuryLeveraged funds-2,139,785-37.3%−1.4pp278%
US Treasury bondAsset managers405,62821.4%−1.9pp1237%
US Treasury bondLeveraged funds-189,678-10.0%+3.4pp9454%Crowded long
SOFR 3-monthAsset managers-481,742-3.8%+0.8pp2423%
SOFR 3-monthLeveraged funds-2,353,716-18.6%+0.8pp145%
EuroAsset managers189,88121.8%−4.0pp1545%
EuroLeveraged funds-44,261-5.1%−0.5pp1749%
Japanese yenAsset managers67,79518.4%+4.1pp7476%
Japanese yenLeveraged funds-25,043-6.8%−2.9pp5964%
British poundAsset managers-145,442-54.7%−3.6pp60%Crowded short
British poundLeveraged funds12,4324.7%+2.8pp2647%
Bitcoin (CME)Asset managers3,53216.5%−1.8pp945%Crowded short
Bitcoin (CME)Leveraged funds-6,852-32.0%+3.0pp9161%Crowded long

Disaggregated report (commodities)

MarketGroupNet contractsNet % OIw/w ppCOT indexPercentileFlag
WTI crudeManaged money53,5982.8%−1.4pp313%
WTI crudeProducers/merchants335,01017.7%+0.7pp8399%
Natural gas (NYMEX)Managed money-144,537-8.0%−0.5pp625%Crowded short
Natural gas (NYMEX)Producers/merchants-8,229-0.5%+0.3pp7685%
GoldManaged money110,98728.0%−1.6pp4764%
GoldProducers/merchants-19,501-4.9%+0.3pp8694%
SilverManaged money7,5287.2%+0.0pp2828%
SilverProducers/merchants-16,253-15.5%−0.0pp8784%
CopperManaged money61,13420.1%−5.8pp8380%
CopperProducers/merchants-92,720-30.5%+4.1pp2131%
CornManaged money329,83917.7%−2.8pp8981%
CornProducers/merchants-688,377-37.0%+2.5pp1315%
SoybeansManaged money258,06623.0%+0.4pp9889%Crowded long
SoybeansProducers/merchants-311,767-27.8%−1.1pp842%Crowded short

Crowding and weekly swings

Most crowded (by |COT index − 50|)

  • VIX (Asset managers): COT index 0, flag: Crowded short.
  • US 10-year Treasury (Asset managers): COT index 100, flag: Crowded long.
  • Soybeans (Managed money): COT index 98, flag: Crowded long.
  • VIX (Leveraged funds): COT index 96, flag: Crowded long.
  • US 2-year Treasury (Leveraged funds): COT index 94, flag: Crowded long.

Largest weekly swings (by |w/w pp|)

  • Copper (Managed money): −5.8pp to 20.1% of open interest.
  • Copper (Producers/merchants): +4.1pp to -30.5% of open interest.
  • Japanese yen (Asset managers): +4.1pp to 18.4% of open interest.
  • Euro (Asset managers): −4.0pp to 21.8% of open interest.
  • British pound (Asset managers): −3.6pp to -54.7% of open interest.

Most crowded positioning is VIX Asset managers with COT index 0 and US 10-year Treasury Asset managers with COT index 100. Largest weekly swing is Copper Managed money at −5.8pp.

9. Most crowded

Slide 9: Most crowded

Most crowded positioning by distance of the COT index from 50. Top of the list: VIX (Asset managers) with a COT index of 0 and net -18.3% of open interest.

10. Biggest weekly swings

Slide 10: Biggest weekly swings

Largest weekly swings in net percent of open interest. Biggest move: Copper (Managed money) at −5.8pp to 20.1% of open interest.

11. Every number here is one call to the FinzData API

Slide 11: Every number here is one call to the FinzData API

Closing slide. Every figure in this deck is available through the FinzData API; the full report is at finzdata.com/research/weekly/2026-10-17.

Method and sources

All figures are point-in-time for the issue date. COT positioning uses rows dated on or before issue date minus four days (Tuesday positions published the following Friday). Liquidity and TIC series use rows dated on or before issue date minus two days. This lets us rebuild past issues exactly as they would have appeared at the time.

  • Liquidity and flows: latest observation, plus the change versus the last observation on or before 7, 28, 91 and 365 calendar days earlier. Monthly TIC flows also show the prior month and a trailing-12-month sum; foreign holdings show the level and the 12-month change.
  • Positioning: net = long − short contracts per trader group; net % of open interest = 100 × net ÷ total open interest; w/w change in net contracts and in net % of open interest (percentage points); COT index = 100 × (net − min) ÷ (max − min) over the last 156 weekly rows (50 when max equals min); percentile of net % of open interest versus all history since 2010. "Crowded long" when the COT index is 90 or above, "Crowded short" when 10 or below.
  • Sources: Federal Reserve H.4.1, US Treasury, FRED, CFTC Commitments of Traders, and the US Treasury TIC survey, all stored in the FinzData database.

Explore the underlying series: COT positioning, datasets, explore, and the RSS feed.

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Built for AI, quants, data scientists and financial analysts who backtest. Clean data. Real insights. Real alpha. finzdata.com. This material is for information only and is not investment advice.

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